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Climate Show 2-7-18 – The “This IS happening man!” show

February 9, 2018

Al and Bruce discuss how organizations deal with uncertainties, especially when those uncertainties have a lot of risk with them. We will talk about three groups who have a lot invested in doing it right.

Attributing weather events to climate is difficult. Climate change is a change in the base conditions, so it is difficult to attribute any one event to “climate change”. But the change in the frequency of weather events is one way to detect the effects of climate change. 

We can compare what we are seeing with what we used to see – and the statistical techniques are similar to those I [Bruce] used in medical studies. The statistics are clear, and the numbers are changing in a bad direction. The NCBI report, Attribution of extreme weather and climate‐related events, January 2016, states:

Event attribution studies seek to determine to what extent anthropogenic climate change has altered the probability or magnitude of particular events. They have shown clear evidence for human influence having increased the probability of many extremely warm seasonal temperatures and reduced the probability of extremely cold seasonal temperatures in many parts of the world. 

Which is how a scientist might describe something that the the rest of us might express as “Warm enough for ya?”

Record costs of weather disasters. The National Centers for Environmental Information (NCEI) describes their methodology in an article, Calculating the Cost of Weather and Climate Disasters, available on-line. One way to present their findings is graphically – the Climate Extremes Index is an aggregate measure of extreme climate events:

KYMN Climate ShowThe KYMN Climate Show with Bruce and Alan: The KYMN Climate Show with Bruce Morlan and Alan Anderson is a once-monthly show that explores the climate issues in the news and then digs into the stories to clarify what the supporting science tells us about our changing climate and how we will have to respond to those changes. With diverse backgrounds, their pursuit is knowledge and reason about our changing climate. KYMN Climate Show will air the first Wednesday of the month at 11am.

Filed Under: Climate Show

Recent Climate Shows

  • 06 Nov 2019 – A little politics, a little Army thinking, a lot of HR763
  • 04 Sep 2019 – The Grand Tour – Messaging
  • 07 August 2019 – The Science Redux
  • 05 June 2019 – Psssst – did you hear that Bigfoot is an alien from Roswell (and other conspiracy theories)
  • 03 July 2019 – A Declaration of Energy Independence

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